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APC’s 2027 Domination Prospects in Southwest, Osun, and Oyo Overview

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Political analysts and Nigerians are keenly interested in the fate of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Southwest Nigeria leading up to the 2027 general elections. The party has established a strong presence in states like Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, and Ekiti, sparking speculation about its ability to maintain supremacy.

Election outcomes often hinge on the advantage of incumbents. If the current APC-appointed governors in Southwest Nigeria continue their commendable efforts and fulfill commitments, they stand a good chance of garnering electoral support. Sustaining party control necessitates building on achievements, addressing public demands, and implementing impactful policies. The electorate’s confidence and votes will be closely tied to the governance record and visible development.

The APC’s future success hinges significantly on internal dynamics and unity. A cohesive party can efficiently plan and mobilize resources for election campaigns, presenting a strong front. To enhance its chances in the 2027 elections, the APC must effectively manage internal conflicts, champion diversity, and consider various interests, making it more appealing to voters.

For opposition parties aiming to challenge APC’s dominance in Southwest Nigeria, effective tactics and strength are paramount. A credible candidate lineup and compelling perspectives are essential for conveying alternative agendas to the electorate. A cohesive, well-organized opposition forming strategic partnerships poses a potential threat to the ruling party. The success of opposition parties will depend on exploiting APC weaknesses and resonating with public aspirations.

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Politics in Southwest Nigeria ahead of the 2027 General Elections may be shaped by socioeconomic issues and public opinion. The electorate must evaluate how well the APC addresses concerns like infrastructure development, unemployment, healthcare, and education. Public opinion will be influenced by the party’s inclusivity in policymaking and responsiveness to the populace’s needs and aspirations. Socioeconomic variables, including changes in population, inter-ethnic relationships, and regional attitudes, could affect voting patterns.

Speculation surrounds the potential defections of Sen. Ademola Adeleke and Engr. Seyi Makinde of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in Osun and Oyo states, respectively, to the APC before the next election cycle. Their performance as governors will play a pivotal role in this decision, considering whether they can leverage the APC as a platform to consolidate accomplishments and gain more political influence.

Possible motivations for defection include a desire to align with the national ruling party, obtaining resources, political clout, and collaboration with the federal government. Personal goals within their states, such as re-election or aspiring to higher political offices, may also influence their decisions.

The PDP would face significant setbacks if the governors in Osun and Oyo states defect, weakening the party’s position in these states and complicating resistance against the APC. The loss of experienced leadership could further impact the party’s cohesiveness and strength.

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Potential defections may enhance the APC’s reach and election prospects, showcasing its ability to attract well-known politicians from rival parties. Voter responses in Osun and Oyo will vary, with some viewing defections as self-serving and opportunistic, while others may see them as strategic moves for progress.

The fluidity of Nigerian politics is underscored by the possibility of PDP governors defecting to the APC before the 2027 elections. Political calculations, personal goals, and government performance will shape their decisions, significantly impacting both parties and the political landscape in their respective states. Voter sentiments will play a crucial role in determining the ultimate impact on the 2027 election results.

In summary, Southwest Nigeria’s general elections in 2027 present an opportunity for the APC to either maintain or erode its lead in the region. Success requires leveraging incumbency advantage, internal harmony, proactive handling of socioeconomic issues, adept management of opposition dynamics, and effective engagement with the electorate. The electoral outcome will also be influenced by the strategies and strength of opposing parties, public opinion, and socioeconomic factors.

 

 

Olumide Paul Akomolafe
Journalist/Political Analyst
Email: Olumide0087@gmail.com

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Politics

APC Raises Alarm Over Alleged Fresh Plot by PDP to Rig LG Poll in Oyo

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As voters in Oyo state warm up to exercise their franchise in the local government council election slated for this Saturday, the state chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has raised the alarm over an alleged fresh plot by the ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP) to compromise the electoral process and manipulate results in favour of its candidates as against the expectations of the whole world.

The Oyo State Independent Electoral Commission (OYSIEC) had indicated its readiness to conclude all arrangements for the emergence (through the ballots) of a new set of elected officials into the 33 local government councils with the conduct of election for the candidates of all registered political parties this Saturday and all hands appear to be on deck for the exercise.

But in a statement issued today and made available to journalists in Ibadan by its Publicity Secretary, Olawale Sadare, Oyo APC berated the ruling PDP and some individuals with vested interest “over their refusal to learn democratic culture and decency as they live in the past where force, intimidation and fraudulent practices determined winners of elections.

“Political watchers and patriots in the society are worried about the shameless conduct of most PDP elements in the state who move around to boast about the plans of their leaders and powers-that-be in the state to write results rather than allow votes to count in this Saturday council election. This set of anti-democratic elements tells whoever that cared to listen they owned OYSIEC and that nobody including security agents, journalists, and accredited observers could stop them from declaring the PDP candidates as the winners in any of the Wards and local government councils.

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“For the avoidance of doubt, we have uncovered some fresh plots by a cartel of desperados in the Agodi Government House to rig the poll in favor of the PDP. This, according to an impeccable source, would afford Gov. Seyi Makinde the opportunity of sustaining his hold on the PDP ahead of the 2027 general elections. One of the plots is to influence most of the Electoral Officers in all the 33 LGAs to work with voter registers which have been doctored in such a way that most voters perceived to be either independent-minded or APC supporters would not find their names on Saturday and thereby disenfranchised.

“Also, we have it on good authority that some characters recruited from the Park Management System (PMS) are to be deployed to each Polling Unit where they would aid vote buying and intimidate voters and agents of the opposition parties at the same time. Moreover, many PDP members have been forced on OYSIEC as Ward Collation Officers and the task given to them is to frustrate the seamless collation of results in most of the 351 Wards with a view to paving the way for the submission of fake results already prepared in favour of the ruling party candidates.

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“As it stands now, all eyes are on our dear state and Gov. Makinde cannot afford to renege on his promise to deliver free, fair, and credible poll this time round. Another fact to consider is that any attempt to prevent the good people of the state from voting their conscience and rescue the third tier of government from total collapse this Saturday would not augur well for democracy in the country. Therefore, we appeal to all stakeholders particularly OYSIEC and security agents to be alive to their responsibility before, during, and after the Saturday poll since it means so much to the entire citizenry.” APC stated.

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Lucky Aiyedatiwa Wins Ondo APC Governorship Primary

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Lucky Aiyedatiwa has emerged victorious in the Ondo All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship primary election, concluding a voting process that commenced on Saturday.

Chairman of the election committee and Governor of Kogi State, Usman Ododo, declared Aiyedatiwa the winner in the early hours of Monday.

“I can confirm that the direct mode of primary election adopted in the 2024 Ondo state governorship primary elections held in all 203 electoral wards in all the 18 LGAs in Ondo state,” Ododo stated while announcing Aiyedatiwa as the winner of the election.

Aiyedatiwa secured victory in 16 out of the 18 local government areas, amassing 48,569 votes in the primary.

His closest rival, Mayowa Akinfolarin, garnered 15,343 votes, securing the second position, while Olusola Oke obtained 14,865 votes, securing the third position.

Notably, the governor lost Ilaje LGA to third-placed Oke.

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Ex- NCC chief, Akande backs Oyo APC with N5m, urges unity ahead of LG poll

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Former Chairman of the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), Professor Adeolu Akande, has made a fervent appeal to factions within the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Oyo State to reconcile and unite ahead of the forthcoming local council election.

Addressing party chairmen and chairmanship candidates from the 10 local government areas of Oke Ogun zone, Akande emphasised the critical need for solidarity within the party ranks to secure victory in the elections scheduled for this month.

Highlighting the significance of unity within the party, the former Governor Ajimobi’s aide underscored that Oyo State is inherently an APC stronghold, but internal conflicts hampered the party’s performance in the previous election.

He urged members to set aside their differences and focus on the common goal of delivering a progressive government to the people of the state.

Speaking during the gathering in Otu, headquarters of Itesiwaju Local Government area, Akande stressed the imperative of forgiveness and reconciliation, emphasising that the party’s success hinges on unity. He lauded the efforts of the national leadership in fostering reconciliation, urging members to embrace the spirit of unity.

As a gesture of support, the ex-NCC gaffer provided financial assistance amounting to N500,000 to each of the 10 local government areas to bolster their preparations for the upcoming April 27 election.

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The event was attended by APC Chairmen and Chairmanship candidates from the Oke Ogun Zone, alongside 21 former local government chairmen, demonstrating a collective commitment to the party’s success in the forthcoming election.

 

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