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2022: Wẹ Thought We Saw ‘Shege’

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I didn’t know Ibadan’s famed On Air Personality, Abraham Ogunleye until someone shared a video of his “Eti Oba” programme with me. In that particular edition, Ogunleye sympathized with everyone going through a lot and encouraged them to keep going through it.

His words, “and this is for everyone going through one thing or the other at the moment, please keep on going through it. You go still see shege (hardship) self”. His standpoint was based on the submission that “everybody would go through a lot” and therefore, no one should expect motivation from anybody.

Of course, very few people would disagree with him. Thanks to the fact that Nigerians by reputation are incurable optimists known to have highly functioning coping mechanisms. The “e go better” spirit is what has been keeping many of them going. Those who would not stretch their endurance any further have however switched to the “já pa” mode by relocating abroad. Who would blame them?

Those who thought with COVID-19 and the EndSARS protests, 2020 would go down as “annus horibilis” changed their opinions before December 2021. And now, we are already comparing the prices of goods and services to what was obtained in 2021. We thought we had seen shege in those years.

It had never crossed anyone’s imagination that a dollar would exchange for over N 700. When the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) otherwise known as petrol was increased the other time, the scant consolation was the availability of the product. We never knew we would still queue up at fuel stations to buy petrol at an unprecedented N 250 per litre.

One other event that showed Nigerians shege in 2022 was the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) strike that went on for eight months. The Federal Government and the Union simply chose to be obstinate while the time of enrolled and prospective university students ticked away by the second.

Lagosians and Nigerians generally were jolted to the marrows when news broke that a female bus passenger, Bamise Ayanwola was raped, viciously thrown down from a moving bus and left to die.

And in terms of security, the hitherto impossible happened! In what seemed like a scene from a commando movie, gunmen stormed St. Francis Catholic Church, Ọwọ, Ondo State during a Morning Mass and with bursts of their automatic rifles, killed 42 people.  Never had the kind of fear that gripped Nigerians in 2022 been felt in Nigeria’s Federal Capital. Though the government denied and tagged media reports of an impending attack on the seat of power as misleading, its agents arrested suspected terrorists who were plotting attacks!

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The abduction of Professor Adigun Agbaje, a former Deputy Vice-Chancellor of the University of Ibadan on the ever-busy Lagos-Ibadan expressway further loaded the cloud of doom many feared was hovering over the country. It drove the point home that the terrorist’s southward movement as reported was not a ruse after all.

While Nigerians were eagerly waiting for a peaceful end to a tumultuous year, some officers put the already distrusted Nigeria Police Force in the news for the wrong reasons. A young man and a pregnant lawyer were felled by police bullets on the Lekki-Ajah expressway within three weeks of each other, thereby increasing the Force’s potential for controversy.

For Olanrewaju Omiyinka, fondly referred to as “Baba Ijesa”, 2022 would be a year that shouldn’t have come. His peak performance in movies notwithstanding, he was sentenced to 16 years imprisonment on charges bordering on child molestation.

And by the time the governorship election in Osun State was concluded, the scale tilted in favour of Senator Ademola Adeleke. He and his late elder brother, Isiaka Adeleke have since earned themselves a place in the record books as the first set of siblings to be elected as governors. Some people attributed Governor Oyetola’s loss at the poll to the rift between Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and Asiwaju Bola Tinubu. It was in 2022 that it became obvious that the latter duo was no longer together.

One of the surprises of the year was the pan-Yoruba socio-cultural group, Afenifere’s open declaration of support for Peter Obi’s presidential aspiration. Not a few people had thought the Afenifere would support a Yoruba candidate.

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) continued its war against corruption with the arrest and prosecution of fraudsters, culminating in the conviction of many. The Commission would however make a corollary show of strength with the invasion of former Governor Rochas Okorocha’s residence.

Videos of a visibly terrified Okorocha reciting Bible verses as EFCC operatives broke in through his ceiling soon emerged on the internet. The former Governor had shared the videos online while the operation lasted. That was however not enough to stop it; an indication that shege comes in varying degrees and is not a respecter of status.  

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The former Deputy President of the Senate, Ike Ekweremadu happened to be another Nigerian politician that had it rough last year. He recovered well from the Yam Festival brouhaha of 2019 and his respect as Ikeoha in his community was never in doubt. That he spent Christmas and New Year in a British jail was however one of the most unexpected events of 2022. No one saw it coming.

Nigerians who fondly referred to the Pound Sterling as “Owo Iya Charly” (Charly’s mother’s money) will have to find another sobriquet for the currency under reference, especially now that the face of King Charles III is on the British Pound.  

Some deaths shook Nigeria in 2022. The Olubadan, Oba Saliu Akanmu Adetunji transited on the second day of the year. Nine days later, he was joined by the former Head of Nigeria’s Interim National Government, Chief Ernest Shonekan. The Alaafin of Oyo, Oba Lamidi Adéyemí III joined his ancestors in April. His burial, especially the earlier part was ample proof that the core Yoruba tradition was gradually fading away.  Mohammed Barkindo, the Oil and Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) President passed away barely 36 hours after receiving a presidential commendation in Abuja.  Christians were particularly jolted by the death of Osinachi Nwachukwu whose song, “Ekwueme” is a popular Gospel hit.

Allegations that her death was domestic violence-related made it the more saddening.  Perhaps a rather shocking one was that of Sammie Okposo. Fans were still reacting to his post on social media when they heard of his demise.

As the year was rounding off, Demola Seriki, Nigeria’s Ambassador to Spain died in Madrid. It is believed that his death may affect part of the political equation in Lagos, his home state ahead of the 2023 polls.  

Perhaps 2022 was not shege all the way; at least new vocabularies were added to Nigeria’s Political Dictionary with “O Lulẹ, Eleyi and Emi Lo Kan” gaining prominent usage. The term “Obedient” was also coined in the year.

Like his predecessors, Derin Ologbenla, Abewe Ila and Adelekan Olubuse I who made history for different reasons, the current Ọọni of Ife, Oba Adeyeye Ogunwusi Ọjaja II proved his mettle as an epitome of grandeur. While many men have adduced “Buharinomics” and the economic situation of Nigeria to their refusal to get married, His Imperial Majesty the Ọọni married five new Oloris within a month!

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Well, away from the gloom that characterized the year; Nigerians had things to cheer about. Tobi Amusan broke the 100m Hurdles Commonwealth Games and World Records in 2022. She ended the year as Africa’s Best Female Athlete, courtesy of the Confederation of African Athletics.

Some are however afraid that the real shege may be ahead, since the Federal Government has announced that fuel subsidies will end in June 2023. Nigerians will therefore need to brace up for a hike in the price of petrol. Be that as it may, personally, I see 2023 as a year of “Open Doors” that will herald new opportunities.

Shege or no shege, Nigeria will have a new President come May 29, 2023, and a maybe not entirely new set of people will run the affairs of the country.

While those who can ja pa are gleefully doing so, those who cannot are preparing for whatever is to come. One can only hope and pray that this time next year, we will not look back and say we thought we saw shege in 2022, not knowing that 2023 would be tougher.”

 

Adejumo sent this piece from Ibadan

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Opinion

OYO101: ADELABU— When will this generational ‘UP NEPA’ chant stop?| By Muftau Gbadegesin

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The Minister of Power, Oloye Bayo Adelabu, has apologized for lashing out at Nigerians over poor energy management.

I hope Nigerians, especially our people from Oyo state, forgive and overlook his Freudian slip. Given that apology, I believe the minister has realized his mistakes and will subsequently act accordingly. In days that followed the minister’s vituperation, many otherwise cool-headed and easy-going observers quickly joined the band of critics and cynics. By the way, what BAND do you think those critics belonged to?

Plus, how best do you describe kicking someone who is down already? The flurry of condemnation that followed Oloye Adelabu’s ‘AC-Freezer’ sermon must have surprised and shocked him. Instead of sticking to his prepared speech, he decided to dash off by telling Nigerians some home truth. Quite amusingly, the truth, it turns out, is not the truth Nigerians want to hear. And as they say, ‘There is your truth, my truth, and the Truth.’ The fact is that Nigerians are angry at many things, the sudden hike in electricity tariff being one.

Perhaps the Minister’s press conference, an avenue to calm fraying nerves and address critical issues, quickly congealed into an arena for an intellectual dogfight – if you watch the video, you will hear the murmur that rented the air the moment that terse statement was uttered. While some influencers tried to downplay the minister’s jibe, they were instead flogged in their whitewashing game. Frankly, I am not interested in the minister and the energy management brouhaha. What I am indeed interested in is what the ministry and minister are doing to restore light in a country where darkness has permeated much of its landscape – don’t mind the confusion the minister and the ministry have created to disrupt the conversation around that vital sector of the economy.

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‘Up NEPA’, Lol

Trust Nigerians. When the defunct National Electric Power Authority failed to end the perennial and persistent darkness in the country, it was ironically dubbed ‘Never Expect Power Always.’ And when the company morphed into PHCN, Nigerians berated the name change, saying the company would hold more power than it would release. True to that assumption, PHCN indeed held more power than it gave to the people.

Then, in 2013, Nigerians woke up to the news of DISCOs, GENCOS, GASCOs, and so on. DISCOs for distribution companies, GENCOs for generating companies, and Gascos for gas suppliers. Of all these critical value chains, only DISCOs were handed down to private enterprises. Think of IBEDC, AEDC, IEDC, BEDC, etc. Unfortunately, the privatization of the distribution chain hasn’t transformed the sector’s fortune for good. More interested in the money but less motivated to do the dirty work of revamping the infrastructure.

Like a typical Nigerian in a ‘band E’ environment, I grew up chanting the ‘Up NEPA’ mantra whenever power is restored at home – and I am not alone in this mass choir. As a rural boy, the ‘Up NEPA’ chant is etched into our skulls from time immemorial. Sometimes, you can’t even tell when you start to join the chorus; you only know that you say it automatically and auto-magisterially. Many years down the lane, the persistent power cuts, blackouts, and grid collapses have worsened. And under Minister Adelabu, power supply, based on my little experience, has never reached this depressing point in history.

As a content creator, I can tell you Oloye Adelabu may likely go down in history as the most inconsequential minister of power unless something drastic is done to restore people’s confidence and bring about a steady, stable, frequent, and regular power supply. You may have seen on social media how most Nigerians who migrated abroad often find it difficult to shed that ‘Up NEPA’ chant from themselves once a power cut is fixed in those countries. Like the rest of their countrymen, they have internalized that mantra. Only after they’ve acclimatized to their new environment would they become healed of that verbal virus ultimately.

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‘Adelabu, end this chant’

This is a challenge. In my column welcoming Oloye Adelabu into the critical ministry of power, I asked a rhetorical question: Can Adelabu end the penkelemesi in the power sector? In Nigeria, is there any other economic sector troubled by multidimensional and multifaceted peculiar messes than the power sector? Adelabu’s grandfather, Adegoke Adelabu, was nicknamed Penkelemesi. History has it that the colonial masters, tired of that Ibadan politician, decided to describe him in the punchiest way possible: a peculiar mess. Quickly, a peculiar mess spread across like wildfire: the white men have described Adegoke as a peculiar mess. Translated to Yoruba, we have Penkelemesi. In retrospect, the minister must have realized the situation he met on the ground is better than what is obtainable now. He needs to own up, chin up, and take full responsibility for this total blackout.

‘Minister Fashola’

Babatunde Fashola, SAN is a clever man. For four years as minister of power, he avoided cutting controversy. But long before he was appointed, he had stirred quite an expectation around fixing the rot in the sector. He had jokingly said his party, the APC, would resolve the crisis of perennial blackout in one fell swoop. He categorically gave a timeline of when Nigerians in the cities and villages will start to enjoy regular power supply: six months. After four years of setbacks, Minister Fashola was forced to eat his vomit: the power crisis in Nigeria is deep-seated and chaotic. Oloye Adelabu has made more enemies than friends in less than a year. The minister may survey his performance among Nigerians to test this hypothesis. The truth is the truth. The mismatch between the minister’s area of competence and his assigned portfolio hasn’t helped matters as well. And this is a cavity many of his critics and traducers are banking on.

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For the first time in decades, Adelabu stands on the threshold of history: will he end this generational ‘UP NEPA’ chant once and for all? Time will tell.

OYO101 is Muftau Gbadegesin’s opinion about issues affecting the Oyo state. He can be reached via @muftaugbade on X, muftaugbadegesin@gmail.com, and 09065176850.

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Yahaya Bello: Do we need to prosecute ex-govs?

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I followed the drama of unimaginable scenes that unfolded in Abuja last week, as the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission(EFCC) moved to arrest and arraign the immediate past governor of Kogi State, Alhaji Yahaya Bello, in respect of alleged mismanagement of funds. I called it a drama of unimaginable scenes because the EFCC had laid siege to the house since very early in the day, knowing that its target, the “White Lion of Kogi State” was holed up somewhere in the compound.

But before the very eyes of the EFCC operatives, the man they had waited all day to catch, just slipped off their hands effortlessly. They claimed that he was rescued by his cousin, the incumbent governor of the state, Usman Ododo, who is protected by constitutional immunity. But EFCC lawyers would claim that Section 12 of the Administration of Criminal Justice Act (ACJA) empowers the body to break into houses to effect arrest.

Maybe that’s a story for another day. But it was surprising they didn’t think of that option. Bello was said to have stayed put in the Government House Lokoja since indication emerged that the EFCC was on his trail. So the easiest thing for the Kogi governor to do was to drive into the troubled house and then fish out a troubled cousin.

The Yahaya Bello saga is just the latest drama between the EFCC and former governors. Some time ago, we witnessed the Ayo Fayose drama. The former Ekiti State governor, whom EFCC was unable to arrest while in office put up some drama when he arrived at EFCC’s office wearing a branded ‘T’ shirt with the inscription: “EFCC I’m here.” Some of his loyalists helped him with things he needed to use in the EFCC detention.

Aside from that, we have also witnessed the Willie Obiano saga. The former governor of Anambra State was accused of misappropriating the state’s funds and has since been taken to court. Immediately after handing over the reins of power in Awka, the man had planned to jet out of the country but had to be stopped as EFCC operatives grabbed him at that exit point. We were also witnesses to the back and forth between the former Governor Abdulaziz Yari of Zamfara State and the EFCC. The commission had accused Yari of mismanaging billions of Naira and moved to arraign him.

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There were accusations and counter-accusations until Yari landed in the Senate, and things became quiet. The drama between the ex-Imo State governor, Rochas Okorocha, was interesting while it lasted. The commission had laid siege to the residence and eventually entered through the roof. We saw a terrified Okorocha and his household, praying fervently for God’s intervention as operatives jumped in to grab their suspect.

The list I have above is by no means exhaustive of the dramatic exchanges between the EFCC and some former governors accused of one financial misdeed or the other in recent years. One thing is, however, common to all the cases, after the the initial bubbles, the whole thing dies down as the retreating waves. Next to nothing is heard of the cases as the neck-breaking snail-speed of the nation’s judicial system takes over. Year after year, it is about one injunction or the other. Many of the accused had gone ahead to seek elective posts and won, many others have taken appointments and the law cannot stop them from utilising the benefits of the allegedly looted resources to gain an advantage since our laws presume individuals innocent until proven guilty.

The books of the EFCC and the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPCC) are full of such individuals who have allegations of hundreds of billions of Naira hanging on their necks. Many of them are busy swinging the official chairs in government offices as we speak. God forbid, one of such should, gain control of the nation’s presidency one day!

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Well, to forestall such a scary development, I think we need an antidote to these endless anti-corruption trials. The endless trial is not just a drain on the energy of the lady justice. It drills a gaping hole in the state’s resources as well. Imagine the legal charges the state incurs in taking several cases through the layers of courts. It is also possible some of the accused, who are innocent of the accusation could die in the process of trials and thus carry an unnecessary burden of guilt (at least in the eyes of the public) into their graves. The late governor of Oyo State, Otunba Adebayo Alao-Akala was able to win his case against the EFCC after 13 years, he died not long after the ‘not guilty’ verdict was pronounced. Former President of the Senate, Adolphus Wabara was also on the bribe-for-budget case preferred against him for more than ten years. Luckily, he was alive to receive his ‘not guilty’ verdict as well. Some may not be that lucky.

To stem this tide of seemingly endless trials of politically exposed persons, I want to suggest amendments to the EFCC and ICPC Acts to lay much premium on thorough and discreet probes of financial crimes rather than dump the results of the investigations in the court, the suspects should be called in and shown the traces of the illegally taken funds and their destinations. If the suspect is ready to refund at least two-thirds of the stolen funds to the coffers of the government, the agency involved, under the supervision of a competent court, could sign an irrevocable non-disclosure agreement and collect the funds into a special basket created for that purpose and which will be used for infrastructural development.

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Such an agreement should also take care of any possible penchant for grandstanding by any politician who could mount the podium one day and claim never to have been indicted of financial crimes. As much as the government would not waste time and resources prosecuting him or her, he should also be barred from active politics and playing godfather roles. If we do this, we will not only save time and resources, but we will get back a sizeable amount of the looted funds into government coffers for developmental purposes.

By Taiwo Adisa

This piece was first Published By Sunday Tribune, April 21, 2024.

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Tinubu’s Naira Miracle: Abracadabra or Economic Wizardry? | By Adeniyi Olowofela

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Prior to assuming the presidency of Nigeria, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu garnered the confidence of the majority of Nigerians with the promise of rescuing the country’s economy from the impending disaster it faced.

For the past 43 years, the Naira has been steadily depreciating against the Dollar, as illustrated in Figure One.

The graphs below unequivocally depict the exponential rise of the Naira against the Dollar from 1979 to 2022. This sustained upward trend would have theoretically resulted in the Naira reaching 2,500 Naira to one Dollar by now.

 

 

This situation led some individuals to hoard dollars in anticipation of profiting from further devaluation of the Naira.

However, under President Bola Tinubu’s leadership, the Nigerian federal government successfully halted the expected decline of the Naira.

The Naira has appreciated to 1,200 Naira to a Dollar (Figure 2), contrary to the projected 2,500 Naira to one Dollar, based on the exponential pattern observed in Figure One.

This achievement demonstrates unprecedented economic prowess. If this trajectory continues, the Naira may appreciate to 500 Naira against 1 Dollar before the conclusion of President Bola Tinubu’s first term in 2027.

While the purchasing power of the average Nigerian remains relatively low, there is a palpable sense of hope on the rise.

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It is hoped that the Economic Team advising the President will continue their efforts to stabilize the economy and prevent its collapse until Nigeria achieves economic prosperity.

The government’s ability to reverse the Naira’s free fall within a year can be likened to a remarkable feat, reminiscent of a lizard falling from the top of an Iroko tree unscathed, then nodding its head in self-applause.

Mr. President, we applaud your efforts.

 

Prof. Adeniyi Olowofela, the Commissioner representing Oyo State at the Federal Character Commission (FCC), writes from Abuja.

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