The Chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), Dr. Zacch Adedeji, has urged Nigeria to urgently move away from its heavy dependence on raw material exports and embrace an innovation-driven, export-led economic model capable of delivering sustainable growth and shared prosperity.
Adedeji made the call on Thursday while delivering the maiden Distinguished Personality Lecture of the Faculty of Administration at the Obafemi Awolowo University (OAU), Ile-Ife, Osun State.
Speaking on the theme, From Potential to Prosperity: Export-led Economy, the NRS chairman said Nigeria must redefine its growth strategy by focusing on ideas, innovation and the production of complex goods rather than exporting primary commodities.
He lamented that despite its enormous potential, Nigeria operates a distorted economic structure, combining a high-tech oil sector with a vast, low-productivity informal economy, without a strong industrial base capable of absorbing labour and driving productivity.
According to him, Nigeria’s export performance stagnated for nearly three decades, between 1998 and 2023, with the country adding only six new products to its export basket between 2008 and 2023.
Adedeji noted that global assessments, including the Harvard Atlas, indicate that Nigeria currently has limited opportunities to diversify exports using existing productive capabilities.
He called for lessons from countries that successfully transformed their economies, including Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, South Africa and Brazil, stressing that long-term success is tied to deliberate strategies that build economic complexity.
“Vietnam used global trade to build a resilient and complex economy by integrating into Global Value Chains. It positioned itself as an assembly hub for electronics, importing components and exporting finished products,” he said.
Adedeji explained that the strategy enabled Vietnam to acquire technology and management expertise while strengthening domestic industrial capacity.
He contrasted this with Nigeria’s continued role as a supplier of raw materials, warning that over-reliance on resource extraction weakens incentives to invest in industrial development and innovation.
The NRS chief added that examples from South Africa and Brazil show that industrial capabilities can be lost when countries fail to sustain deliberate diversification efforts.
“For Nigeria, the warning is clear. Relying solely on natural resources is not just a recipe for stagnation but a pathway to regression in a global economy that increasingly rewards knowledge, innovation and complexity,” Adedeji said.
He commended President Bola Tinubu for initiating difficult but necessary economic reforms aimed at rebuilding productive capacity and strengthening the foundations for innovation-led growth.
According to him, with the right policies, discipline and resolve, Nigeria can transition from unrealised potential to lasting prosperity.