Politics
APC’s 2027 Domination Prospects in Southwest, Osun, and Oyo Overview

Political analysts and Nigerians are keenly interested in the fate of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Southwest Nigeria leading up to the 2027 general elections. The party has established a strong presence in states like Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, and Ekiti, sparking speculation about its ability to maintain supremacy.
Election outcomes often hinge on the advantage of incumbents. If the current APC-appointed governors in Southwest Nigeria continue their commendable efforts and fulfill commitments, they stand a good chance of garnering electoral support. Sustaining party control necessitates building on achievements, addressing public demands, and implementing impactful policies. The electorate’s confidence and votes will be closely tied to the governance record and visible development.
The APC’s future success hinges significantly on internal dynamics and unity. A cohesive party can efficiently plan and mobilize resources for election campaigns, presenting a strong front. To enhance its chances in the 2027 elections, the APC must effectively manage internal conflicts, champion diversity, and consider various interests, making it more appealing to voters.
For opposition parties aiming to challenge APC’s dominance in Southwest Nigeria, effective tactics and strength are paramount. A credible candidate lineup and compelling perspectives are essential for conveying alternative agendas to the electorate. A cohesive, well-organized opposition forming strategic partnerships poses a potential threat to the ruling party. The success of opposition parties will depend on exploiting APC weaknesses and resonating with public aspirations.
Politics in Southwest Nigeria ahead of the 2027 General Elections may be shaped by socioeconomic issues and public opinion. The electorate must evaluate how well the APC addresses concerns like infrastructure development, unemployment, healthcare, and education. Public opinion will be influenced by the party’s inclusivity in policymaking and responsiveness to the populace’s needs and aspirations. Socioeconomic variables, including changes in population, inter-ethnic relationships, and regional attitudes, could affect voting patterns.
Speculation surrounds the potential defections of Sen. Ademola Adeleke and Engr. Seyi Makinde of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in Osun and Oyo states, respectively, to the APC before the next election cycle. Their performance as governors will play a pivotal role in this decision, considering whether they can leverage the APC as a platform to consolidate accomplishments and gain more political influence.
Possible motivations for defection include a desire to align with the national ruling party, obtaining resources, political clout, and collaboration with the federal government. Personal goals within their states, such as re-election or aspiring to higher political offices, may also influence their decisions.
The PDP would face significant setbacks if the governors in Osun and Oyo states defect, weakening the party’s position in these states and complicating resistance against the APC. The loss of experienced leadership could further impact the party’s cohesiveness and strength.
Potential defections may enhance the APC’s reach and election prospects, showcasing its ability to attract well-known politicians from rival parties. Voter responses in Osun and Oyo will vary, with some viewing defections as self-serving and opportunistic, while others may see them as strategic moves for progress.
The fluidity of Nigerian politics is underscored by the possibility of PDP governors defecting to the APC before the 2027 elections. Political calculations, personal goals, and government performance will shape their decisions, significantly impacting both parties and the political landscape in their respective states. Voter sentiments will play a crucial role in determining the ultimate impact on the 2027 election results.
In summary, Southwest Nigeria’s general elections in 2027 present an opportunity for the APC to either maintain or erode its lead in the region. Success requires leveraging incumbency advantage, internal harmony, proactive handling of socioeconomic issues, adept management of opposition dynamics, and effective engagement with the electorate. The electoral outcome will also be influenced by the strategies and strength of opposing parties, public opinion, and socioeconomic factors.
Olumide Paul Akomolafe
Journalist/Political Analyst
Email: Olumide0087@gmail.com
Politics
Fresh N200bn Loan: Oyo APC Accuses Makinde of Pushing State Into Financial Ruin

The Oyo State chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has fiercely opposed Governor Seyi Makinde’s move to secure a fresh loan of N200 billion, describing it as reckless and detrimental to the state’s financial future. The party called on concerned Nigerians to intervene and prevail upon the governor to abandon the borrowing plan.
According to the party, it said sources had revealed that Governor Makinde sought and secured approval for the loan on Tuesday, allegedly through the Speaker of the State House of Assembly, Hon. Debo Ogundoyin, and a few select lawmakers. It added that the governor’s request, contained in a letter dated 13th March 2025, cited the need to refinance an existing loan from a commercial bank.
In a statement issued on Tuesday and made available to journalists in Ibadan, Oyo APC’s Publicity Secretary, Olawale Sadare, condemned the move, insisting that the governor’s borrowing spree was driving the state into a financial mess.
“Another distressing development has emerged from the Oyo State House of Assembly today. The Speaker and a handful of his loyalists have secretly approved a fraudulent loan request from the governor without the knowledge of most of their colleagues. This decision was only made public through a post-plenary document released by the Clerk of the House,” the statement read.
Sadare decried the mounting debt profile of Oyo State under Makinde, alleging that the governor had already incurred over N300 billion in loans over the last six years. He questioned why, despite such heavy borrowing, the state had little to show in terms of infrastructural development, economic growth, and agricultural advancement.
“If the previous loans had been judiciously used to improve infrastructure, build the economy, and ensure food security through a sustainable agricultural revolution, there would be no need for concern. Unfortunately, the present PDP administration has demonstrated a lack of accountability and is determined to mortgage the future of Oyo State,” he said.
The APC spokesman further questioned the rationale behind the fresh loan request, citing the substantial revenue inflows into the state’s coffers.
“For the record, Governor Makinde receives an average of N11 billion in federal allocation and another N11 billion on behalf of the 33 local government councils. In addition, the state generates no less than N3 billion in Internally Generated Revenue, bringing the total monthly revenue to at least N25 billion. The critical question now is: what exactly is he doing with this massive income, and why does Oyo still need another huge loan?”
Sadare accused the governor of failing to prioritise essential needs despite the available funds, lamenting that workers in state-owned tertiary institutions were not being paid a living wage, while key sectors such as emergency response, agriculture, and education remained neglected.
“Oyo State cannot even afford five fully functional fire trucks to tackle emergencies. Farmers lack access to modern equipment, while the state’s public schools are deteriorating rapidly. Yet, Governor Makinde, who has failed to complete an ordinary bus terminal after allegedly spending N20 billion, has now set his sights on an airport upgrade project as another means to siphon public funds,” he added.
The APC spokesman also took a swipe at Speaker Ogundoyin, accusing him of acting as a rubber stamp for the governor’s financial dealings.
“The manner in which this N200 billion loan was hurriedly approved exposes the Speaker as a willing accomplice in Makinde’s financial recklessness. However, justice will eventually prevail, and no one involved in this dubious scheme will escape accountability,” Sadare warned.
As of the time of filing this report, efforts to get a reaction from the Oyo State government and the Speaker of the House of Assembly were unsuccessful.
Politics
Former PDP Governorship Candidate Jandor Returns to APC

A former governorship candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Lagos, Abdul-Azeez Adediran, popularly known as Jandor, has officially rejoined the All Progressives Congress (APC).
Jandor announced his return to the ruling party at a press conference in Lagos on Monday, approximately two weeks after resigning from the PDP.
In his address, he explained his decision, stating that APC prioritises electoral victory regardless of the candidate.
“We have decided to return to the All Progressives Congress, APC,” he declared.
Anticipating criticism over his political move, he referenced a Yoruba proverb, saying:
“Before you are quick to remind me of the reasons why I dumped APC, I want to say that there is a Yoruba adage that says, if a woman has not tried two husbands, she would not know which one is better.”
Jandor had previously left the PDP on 3rd March 2025, citing what he described as anti-party activities by some leaders in Lagos State.
“We were waiting to see if the party at the national level, governed by its constitution, would address these anti-party activities. Instead of sanctions, the same individual was appointed Vice Chairman of the Disciplinary Committee,” he said at the time.
Following his resignation from the PDP, Jandor met with several political figures, including President Bola Tinubu and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, as well as other key stakeholders in Nigeria’s political landscape.
Jandor’s political journey began with the APC, where he led the Lagos4Lagos Movement before defecting in 2022. He joined the PDP ahead of the 2023 governorship election and became the party’s flagbearer in Lagos, but lost to APC’s Babajide Sanwo-Olu.
Politics
El-Rufai Urges Atiku, Obi, Others to Join SDP, Rules Out Merger

Former Governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El-Rufai, has dismissed the possibility of a political merger ahead of the 2027 general election, instead urging former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, ex-Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi, and other opposition figures to join the Social Democratic Party (SDP).
El-Rufai’s call came in the wake of his resignation from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) on 10 March, citing a misalignment of values with the party.
In a recent interview with BBC Hausa, the former governor appealed to opposition leaders to unite under the SDP banner to challenge President Bola Tinubu’s administration in the next election.
“My wishes and prayers are that Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, Rotimi Amaechi, Rauf Aregbesola, and all opposition leaders join SDP—not to form a merger or register a new party, but to work together towards 2027,” he said.
El-Rufai also expressed his disappointment in the current administration, stating that despite initial confidence in Tinubu’s leadership, he had failed to meet expectations.
“What pains me is that the government we supported and believed in would perform well because we saw what Tinubu achieved in Lagos despite his challenges,” he remarked. “We all know about his issues in Chicago, but we thought if he could replicate his work in Lagos at the national level, we should support him. However, he has failed.”
Meanwhile, the Presidency has dismissed speculation surrounding the 2027 elections, maintaining that President Tinubu is focused on economic reforms and national development.
In a statement on Friday via X (formerly Twitter), Tinubu’s Special Adviser on Media and Public Communications, Bayo Onanuga, stated:
“President Tinubu is not worried about the next election. He is concerned about the shared prosperity he can bring to Nigerians. He is focused on ensuring that, by the end of his first term, he can look back and say, ‘I have impacted the lives of Nigerians and turned this economy around.’”
Onanuga also highlighted the administration’s achievements, including improved foreign reserves, reduced inflation, a growing trade surplus, and increased foreign investments.
Addressing speculation about his own presidential ambition in 2027, El-Rufai said his candidacy would depend on the party and the will of the people.
“It is not for me to decide; it is the party and the people that will decide. Even when I was contesting for governor, it was the people who met and convinced (Muhammadu) Buhari, and he called me to run,” he said.
As political alignments continue to take shape ahead of 2027, El-Rufai’s defection and his call for opposition unity signal growing tensions within Nigeria’s political landscape.
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