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2023: Continuous assessment report of gubernatorial gladiators in Oyo APC

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In our research across voters, governance and stakeholders in Oyo state, we came across other gubernatorial interests such as that of the international surgeon, Dr. Azeez Adeduntan , AD’s Hakeem Alao, Ibadan highly influential chief, socialite and politician, Sarafadeen Alli, elder statesman, Barrister Olufemi Lanlehin, and many of the highly empowered late Governor Ajimobi ‘guys’.

Huhn! Truth is sacred, bitter and sometimes hard to tell. Readers should please permit us to limit our analysis to seven (7) aspirants; though in our altruistic service to the society, Nigeria, our generation and humanity, we believe sincerely we are helping some people and systems towards engaging in logical reasoning. We are unapologetic in doing this and we welcome criticisms and differing opinions both objective, parochial and biased ones. Tomorrow, we pray all get there, is very near.

In the APC gubernatorial contest going forward, the following names usually come up at least for now and they included: Bayo Adelabu, Teslim Folarin, Niyi Akintiola, Bayo Shittu, Fatai Buhari, Joseph Tegbe and Sunday Dare. We can quickly add that except incumbent Governor Seyi Makinde himself decamp to APC ( anything is possible in Nigerian politics), any new gladiator towards 2023 election is likely to be wasting his time and resources.

In our previous submission, we have opined that it is in APC interest to trim the number of contestants to various offices. The myriads of contending interests were also partly responsible for the loss of many seats to the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in the 2019 election. The party elders and stakeholders need to learn lessons on how Bola Ahmed Tinubu (BAT), the Jagaban manages political interests and contenders for elections in Lagos state. See how the fresh run-up Senatorial election was wisely settled with no rancour, that is leadership. Other factors for APC loss in Oyo state was the fact that the person who emerged to contest the gubernatorial election could not manage others who contested with him.

Again, he needs to learn how Rotimi Akeredolu Aketi of Ondo state visited, begged and carried along other contestants towards his gubernatorial election in year 2020. All the above were factors that made the merger that propped up Seyi Makinde to work. We are of the opinion that many traditional archaic, premodial interests in Oyo State APC need to be checkmated to enable the party has a headway in the state and move forward .

From the foregoing therefore, if APC will go to the 2023 election seriously, the number of contenders who will vie in the primary must be reduced to the barest minimum. The eventual candidate must of necessity deliberately and compulsory embrace other contenders and the APC must fashion out ways to merge with other parties, caucuses, political gatekeepers. As a follow up to our earlier opinion, we advise and profess that it is in the best interest of Oyo State APC to accept the State leadership of former Governor Adebayo Alao-Akala and cooperate with him in the onerous task of galvanising all interests.

Oyo APC Gubernatorial Gladiators

Bayo Adelabu : Was a former deputy Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). He, therefore came into politics with a rich corporate and sound educational pedigree. He had no visible political structure and relied substantially on the Ajimobi’s political structure and succession plan that did not work for him in the 2019 election. The influential Ibadan voters did not vote for anything or anybody Ajimobi in 2019 and so Adelabu failed.

Still, he has the young, progressive, mostly diasporan Ibadan upcoming but rich elites rooting for him. Apart from occasional philanthropic activities he is into, he is not funding any impactful political structure. He has concentrated more on his hotels and other businesses. To many other contenders, he is regarded as a political neophyte and to line up behind him is considered degrading by his political seniors.

Except he is imposed again, or Chief Bayo Adelabu funds Oyo State APC politics more and expand his political networks, the truth is that he cannot win a free and fair primary as things stand now.

Teslim Folarin: Is coming from the political family of the late strongman of Ibadan politics- High Chief Lamidi Adedibu. As it stands, Teslim had the backing of the traditional PDP conservatives; this is both a strength for him and a weakness. A weakness in the sense that the traditional progressives do not trust the PDP family; they belief he may decamp after winning through the APC. This may poses challenge for him to win the APC primary except the new State Party leader ,Chief Bayo Alao-Akala backs him.

However, if he wins APC primary, in the spirit of esprit de corps, his comrades from the Adedibu camp will back him. In the gubernatorial contest, he had a rich political pedigree, having risen to the post of a Senate leader in the National Assembly, he is educated and well connected.

Being an high chief of Ibadanland, he commands wide acceptance in Ibadan’s eleven (11) local governments out of the thirty three (33) local governments in the state. However, he is not as popular in other senatorial zones. While he was in the Senate, his constituents complained of lack of stomach infrastructure. He does not have deep pockets, but judging by his performances in electoral contests , Teslim know how to win elections.

Niyi Akintiola : Is a Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN) and a former majority leader, Oyo State House of Assembly. He is also a Chief in Ibadanland and had won many political cases for the progressives camp. He has meagre following among the critical Ibadan elders and no visible political structure. Aside all these, he is not politically influential outside Ibadanland.

He cannot win a free and fair primary in the APC except he is imposed. Though, highly cerebral and progressive minded, but Akintola has not shown that he has the required deep and extensive funding and networks for a gubernatorial contest in a wide state like Oyo state.

Olasunkanmi Tegbe: Was brought into contest the gubernatorial election by the late Senator Abiola Ajimobi. Prior to year 2019 elections, he was not known in the political landscape of Oyo State politics. He came in with sound education and wide experience and exposure in the corporate world. He had no political structures aside the Ajimobi political structure and was largely sponsored with strategies, networks and funding. He has been able to reach out and undertake meagre philanthropic activities.

Initially, his state of origin was a battle he had to fight. The Ajimobi political structure were ready to encourage him with funding. He is a neophyte politically and the political arena has moved farther than a stranger in the field emerging as a gubernatorial candidate in the highly politically sophisticated state such as Oyo state. He has so much work to do to come to reckoning.

Sunday Dare : Is the current Minister of Youths and Sports. He has good educational pedigree and is reputed to be a tested and trusted political godson of the national leader of APC, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Before he was appointed minister, he was not even known as an indigene of Oyo state. He did not actively participate in the political activities. He has distributed some stomach infrastructures since he was appointed a minister.

Apart from his political god father funding his political moves, he cannot single-handedly fund a gubernatorial move. Except he is imposed from above to the disadvantage of APC members in Oyo state, he cannot win a free and fair primary.

To his disadvantage too, the State APC Leader, former Governor of Oyo state, Adebayo Alao Akala is from Ogbomoso , the Oyo state APC chairman, Chief Akin-Oke is from Ogbomoso. Sunday Dare also comes from same Ogbomoso. This arrangement cannot work as Oyo state APC stands now.

Bayo Shittu: Is a lawyer, former lawmaker, commissioner, and ex-minister of Communications in the first term of President Buhari democratic administration. He started contesting for the gubernatorial ticket under the defunct Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) merged to form the new APC. He had not really fit in to win in the new competition that faced him in APC. He was at loggerheads with the former governor of Oyo state, late Senator Abiola Ajimobi.

He cannot and will not be able to get the support of the highly empowered and influential SENACO group of APC anytime he wants to contest, especially for the governorship ticket. He is labelled a religious bigot and cannot win a free and fair election in Oyo state. He has neither the funds, network or acceptability to pursue a gubernatorial contest. However, he played a leading role in ensuring that the Unity Forum, a breakaway faction of the Oyo APC had enough protest votes and political advocacies to dislodge APC candidate from being elected as Governor in year 2019.

Therefore, efforts should be made to retain Bayo Shittu within the progressive group and APC interests during elections.

Abdulfatai Buhari: Is a serving Senator in the current National Assembly from Oyo North Senatorial District. Arguably, he is offering several dividends of democracy to people from his zone. His experience in the two chambers of the National Assembly is a plus for him. Senator Buhari also a former Commissioner in the state has good educational pedigree, widely respected in his Senatorial district and within the APC as a party.

However, it is doubtful whether the influential Ibadan voters are ready for a non Ibadan indigene to be elected a Governor now. Aside this, the Senator has a background of being a cross-over leader from the conservative PDP party, this is not usually comfortable for long standing progressives.

Conclusion:

The All Progressives Congress (APC) chance is high to recapture the governorship seat in Oyo state. If Dr. Olusola Ayandele Eruobodo from Ibarapa zone, Senator Adesoji Akanbi or Sarafadeen Alli could be given the Senatorial ticket for Oyo South , Abdulfatai Buhari/Barrister Adebayo Shittu/ for Oyo North Senatorial district and Prince Akeem Adeyemi/Akin Alabi/Yunus Akintunde for Oyo Central and all these candidates agree to work for a formidable Muslim gubernatorial candidate from Ibadan with a strong , hardworking christian deputy governorship candidate from Oyo North Senatorial district, Oke-Ogun to be precise, and humbly working together with other political parties and caucuses, Oyo State APC will return to the Agodi Government House.

But, who is the Muslim governorship candidate from Ibadan ? Time will tell.

Let us do it together

* We are researched – based

  • By last quarter of 2020, we shall review the above submissions according to realities on the ground by December 2020

*You too can work with us. Fill and send to us. Rate each person from 1%-100% according to the following indices : Education, Ibadan elders, funding, governance pedigree, Lagos support, political structure, statewide impact.

Also state your name and local government in Oyo state.

Idowu Ayodele
Political Desk
Mega Icon Magazine

megaiconmagazine@gmail.com,

megaicon@ymail.com,

megaiconmedia@ gmail.com

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Politics

Adeleke: I Had No Electoral Deal With ADC

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OSUN State Governor, Ademola Adeleke, has denied having any electoral agreement or partnership with the African Democratic Congress before, during or after the August 15 governorship election.

Adeleke made the clarification on Tuesday in a post on his verified X handle, saying his victory was achieved through the support of God and the people of Osun State.

The governor said the ADC was not part of the political coalition that campaigned and mobilised support for his re-election, describing the group of political allies that worked for his victory as a “rainbow coalition.”

He said, “I had no electoral deal or partnership with the ADC before, during, or after the governorship election.”

Adeleke added that it was important to put the record straight, stressing that the ADC was not part of the coalition that campaigned and mobilised support for his re-election.

“For the sake of history, it is important to clarify that the ADC was never part of the rainbow coalition that canvassed, mobilised, and supported our campaign in the battle leading to last Saturday’s election,” he said.

The governor thanked his political allies for their sacrifices and efforts during the campaign, noting that their commitment contributed to his victory at the poll.

Adeleke, who called for unity after the election, said he remained governor of all Osun residents regardless of their political affiliation, religion or tribe.

“Now that the election is over, I remain the Governor of all Osun people, irrespective of political affiliation, religion, or tribe. My commitment is to unite our people and continue working for the progress and prosperity of Osun State,” he said.

Adeleke defeated the All Progressives Congress candidate, Bola Oyebamiji, and the ADC candidate, Najeem Salaam, in the keenly contested election.

The governor polled 511,067 votes to defeat Oyebamiji, who scored 444,815 votes, while Salaam secured 17,180 votes.

Adeleke won in 19 of the 30 local government areas in the state, while Oyebamiji won the remaining 11.

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Adeleke Reaffirms Tinubu Endorsement After Osun Victory

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Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke has renewed his endorsement of President Bola Tinubu for a second term in 2027, barely hours after he was declared winner of Saturday’s governorship election.

Adeleke, who secured a second term in office, also commended Tinubu for what he described as his support for a free, fair and credible electoral process.

The governor spoke in Osogbo on Sunday while reacting to his victory, which he dedicated to the people of Osun State.

“At this point, I must deeply appreciate Mr President, His Excellency Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu, for his strong support for a free and fair election,” Adeleke said.

“Mr President is a son of Osun State. And I hereby reaffirm my earlier endorsement of him for a second term in the 2027 presidential election.”

Adeleke thanked the people of the state for standing by him, saying their resilience and commitment to democracy had helped to produce the outcome of the election.

“In the last few months, Osun people have been under very intense pressure. Today, the issues are settled by the grace of God and the people.

“I therefore dedicate this victory to the good people of Osun State. I deeply appreciate your resilience, your strong will and your unwavering commitment to democracy,” he said.

The governor promised not to disappoint the electorate, saying his administration would build on its achievements and address areas where it had fallen short.

“As you have trusted me again for the second term in office, I will not disappoint you. To serve you better, I will reinforce my strong points and correct my errors,” Adeleke stated.

He also pledged to pursue accelerated development across the state under his renewed five-point agenda.

The Independent National Electoral Commission declared Adeleke the winner of the election in the early hours of Sunday.

The Returning Officer, Prof. Joshua Ogunwole, announced in Osogbo that Adeleke polled 511,067 votes to defeat the All Progressives Congress candidate, Bola Oyebamiji, who scored 444,815 votes.

The candidate of the African Democratic Congress, Najeem Salaam, came third with 17,180 votes.

A total of 1,005,800 votes were cast across the 30 local government areas of the state, while 985,079 votes were declared valid.

INEC said 1,010,684 voters were accredited for the election, which was contested by candidates of 15 political parties.

Adeleke’s victory secures another four-year term for him and further strengthens his political position in Osun ahead of the 2027 general elections.

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Tinubu tasks INEC, security agencies on credible Osun election

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President Bola Tinubu has charged the Independent National Electoral Commission and security agencies to ensure a peaceful, transparent and credible governorship election in Osun State.

Tinubu made the call in a statement issued on Friday by his Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, ahead of Saturday’s poll.

The President urged INEC to uphold the integrity of the electoral process and ensure that voters are allowed to freely choose their preferred candidate.

“As the people of Osun State head to the polling units to elect who will govern them in the next four years, I call on the Independent National Electoral Commission to ensure orderly conduct of the election.

“The election must be transparent, free and fair. I urge INEC to ensure the integrity of the process,” he said.

Tinubu also urged the electoral commission to use the Osun election as an opportunity to demonstrate its preparedness for the 2027 general elections.

“INEC must use this last off-cycle election as a test case to demonstrate to Nigerians their full preparedness for the 2027 polls,” the President added.

The President also charged the Inspector-General of Police, Tunji Disu, and other security chiefs deployed for the election to provide adequate security at polling units and prevent attempts to disrupt the exercise.

“I have charged the Inspector-General of Police and other heads of security outfits taking part in the election to provide maximum security at polling units. No room should be allowed for troublemakers to disrupt the process,” Tinubu said.

He stressed the need to protect voters and electoral officials, urging residents to participate in the election without fear or intimidation.

“Electoral officials and voters must be protected so they can perform their civic duties without fear or intimidation. Voters should feel confident to go out in their numbers to vote for the candidate of their choice, as all measures necessary to ensure a peaceful, free and fair election have been put in place.

“Our elections must be credible, and the outcome of the Osun Governorship election must reflect the will of the people,” he said.

Tinubu further urged voters to exercise their civic responsibility peacefully and avoid actions capable of undermining the conduct of the election.

More than 25,000 security personnel have been deployed across the state for the poll, while INEC has said preparations are on course.

With 15 candidates on the ballot, the election is expected to be keenly contested as voters across the state’s 30 local government areas elect a governor for the next four years.

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